Yes position
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $170.65
- Potential payout
- $217.39
- Potential profit
- $46.74
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $70.65
Polymarket Trader
harsheysbets
0x6c59a2c4507543f34ebfbfb67533237cd155da42
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $170.65
- Realized PnL
- $45.49
- Win rate
- 45.5%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.07
Yes position
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.95
No position
Will Cursor support Grok-3 before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.81
Canada position
Canada vs. USA
Ends Feb 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
No position
Will NASA estimate a 4% chance of asteroid hitting Earth?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.67
Yes position
Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 22-28?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Canucks position
Kraken vs. Canucks
Ends Apr 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?Yes 70.9% 141.07 shares
- Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes 46% 217.39 shares
- Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?Yes 23.9% 41.84 shares
- Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes 21.9% 451.8 shares
- Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 22-28?No 15% 33.33 shares
- Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes 16.6% 451.81 shares
- Kraken vs. CanucksCanucks 41% 24.39 shares
- Will NASA estimate a 4% chance of asteroid hitting Earth?No 98.3% 15.94 shares
- Canada vs. USACanada 52% 25 shares
- Will NASA estimate a 4% chance of asteroid hitting Earth?No 69% 15.94 shares
- Will Cursor support Grok-3 before April?No 42% 23.81 shares
- Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?Yes 14% 35.71 shares