Polymarket Trader

shfa

0x6c5c7a3e74a6d3cdbb98abd94cfe9229f2b51e71

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.26K
Realized PnL: $12.13K
Win rate: 58.3%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 12
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.99K
Potential profit: $62.99K
User PnL: -$2.43K

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.68K
Potential profit: $18.68K
User PnL: -$3.68K

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $572.95
Potential payout: $10.42K
Potential profit: $9.84K
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$2.65K

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $689.72
Potential payout: $9.2K
Potential profit: $8.51K
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$2.5K

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.25K
Potential profit: $6.25K
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.49K
Potential profit: $5.49K
User PnL: -$1.84K

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $110.58
Potential payout: $3.25K
Potential profit: $3.14K
Multiplier: 29.41x
User PnL: -$343.65

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $562.96
Potential payout: $562.96
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $163.26

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $327.87
Potential payout: $327.87
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $127.87

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.62K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.8K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.77K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $857.43

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $771.46

No position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $32.77

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: $13.57

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$35.39

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$38

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$103.22

No position

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$109.54

Yes position

Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$450

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Yes 71% 562.96 shares
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Yes 61% 327.87 shares
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 14% 1,458.86 shares
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 13.9% 1,793.57 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Yes 34% 1,544.12 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Yes 34% 1,529.41 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Yes 35% 2,691.8 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Yes 35% 2,001.81 shares
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Yes 14.6% 2,147.75 shares
US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Yes 67% 1,982.92 shares
US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Yes 68.9% 1,225.35 shares
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Yes 58% 697.32 shares