No position
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $14.89
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Polymarket Trader
4545dfsdf
0x6c619b4c9a6683ef6b0362991248c46857ea686c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $118.14
- Realized PnL
- $11.11
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $14.98
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $1.18
No position
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $13.88
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $12.9
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $11.92
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $9.99
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $5.96
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $5.16
- Potential payout
- $5.17
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $4.53
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.47
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $4.95
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $4.14
- Potential payout
- $4.17
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $3.15
- Potential payout
- $3.19
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $3.13
- Potential payout
- $3.19
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.35
- Potential profit
- $2.35
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $2.03
- Potential payout
- $2.15
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.08
- Potential payout
- $2.08
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.08
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $1.02
- Potential payout
- $1.59
- Potential profit
- $0.56
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.1%
- Current value
- $1.32
- Potential payout
- $1.57
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.18
- Potential profit
- $1.18
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $1.11
- Potential payout
- $1.11
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $0.99
- Potential payout
- $1.1
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 19?
Ends Nov 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.86
Yes position
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
Ends Dec 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
Yes position
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
Yes position
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
Yes position
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 1?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 28?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 7.4% 119.99 shares
- Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No 94% 3.19 shares
- Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No 94% 3.19 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No 96% 4.17 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 96.7% 5.17 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 85% 2.35 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 93% 2.15 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 85% 1.18 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No 90% 1.11 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?No 48% 2.08 shares
- Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 1.9% 300 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No 94.6% 5 shares