Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $8.38
- Potential payout
- $88.24
- Potential profit
- $79.85
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$6.62
Polymarket Trader
0x6C6b36d8832F8BcDfE86D40418E26b9B4722bdED-1765393783617
0x6c6b36d8832f8bcdfe86d40418e26b9b4722bded
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $45.93
- Realized PnL
- $29.11
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $20
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $56.92
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $0.56
- Potential payout
- $32.26
- Potential profit
- $31.69
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- -$9.44
Yes position
Discord IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.9%
- Current value
- $13.15
- Potential payout
- $21.98
- Potential profit
- $8.82
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- -$6.85
Yes position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $3.83
- Potential payout
- $11.25
- Potential profit
- $7.43
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- -$1.17
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Trump imposes tariff on semiconductors by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.72
Yes position
Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.6
No position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.35
No position
Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.23
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No 73.4% 16.35 shares
- Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?Yes 86% 29.45 shares
- Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?Yes 67% 29.46 shares
- US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?Yes 26% 76.92 shares
- U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?Yes 44.4% 22.5 shares
- Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?Yes 31% 32.26 shares
- Discord IPO before 2027?Yes 91% 21.98 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes 26.6% 12.1 shares
- Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?No 73% 13.7 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes 16.5% 12.1 shares
- Trump imposes tariff on semiconductors by December 31?No 54.5% 36.72 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?Yes 17% 88.24 shares