Yes position
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $56.59
- Potential profit
- $56.57
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$28.72
Polymarket Trader
0x6C6F8aA52da3b62f8992205c771302049ed3303E-1783955104660
0x6c6f8aa52da3b62f8992205c771302049ed3303e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0.03
- Realized PnL
- $4.02
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $1.17
No position
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 54%
- Multiplier
- 1.85x
- User PnL
- $0.5
N
No position
Will Junior Caminero win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $0.16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Diana Onyeijaka be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee?
Ends Aug 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.02
N
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Ends Oct 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $0.01
N
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Ends Oct 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No 10% 4.72 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on July 14?No 76% 1.18 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on July 14?No 64% 1.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on July 15?No 80.8% 1.32 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on July 15?No 66% 1.61 shares
- Will Rodney Glassman be the Arizona Attorney General Republican nominee?No 87% 1.19 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on July 14?No 97.8% 1.16 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on July 15?No 95% 1.2 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on July 14?No 78% 1.61 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No 78% 1.71 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on July 14?No 92% 1.46 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 15?No 66% 2.07 shares