Yes position
Will the Labour Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.04K
- Potential profit
- $2.04K
- User PnL
- -$86.4
Polymarket Trader
Nickaswell
0x6c7cc9390990e1a34c510daf86df9b81511aa833
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $201.55
- Realized PnL
- $156.79
- Win rate
- 47.4%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $4.38
- Potential payout
- $1.75K
- Potential profit
- $1.75K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.62
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.69K
- Potential profit
- $1.69K
- User PnL
- -$55
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.9%
- Current value
- $166.46
- Potential payout
- $619.96
- Potential profit
- $453.5
- Multiplier
- 3.72x
- User PnL
- $141.46
Yes position
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $127.44
- Potential profit
- $127.44
- User PnL
- -$3.87
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.79
- Potential payout
- $92.61
- Potential profit
- $91.82
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$49.21
Yes position
Will two people dissent the June Fed decision?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.75
- Potential profit
- $90.75
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $5.6
- Potential payout
- $86.21
- Potential profit
- $80.6
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$19.4
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $24.06
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $38.44
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $14.06
Yes position
Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.18
- Potential profit
- $47.18
- User PnL
- -$3.75
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.19
- Potential profit
- $32.19
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.26
- Potential payout
- $30.3
- Potential profit
- $30.05
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$9.74
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.53
Yes position
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.2
Yes position
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.71
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.73
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.86
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
Yes position
Will 40-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will 30-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will 20-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will fewer than 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.71
Yes position
Will voter turnout be 74–77% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will 60-69 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.35
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.02
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.67
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 16% 62.5 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 4.2% 238.1 shares
- Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?Yes 29% 86.21 shares
- Will two people dissent the June Fed decision?Yes 11% 90.75 shares
- Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 0.6% 1,753.01 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?Yes 33% 30.3 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Yes 15.5% 32.19 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 5.2% 96.15 shares
- Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 99.9% 197.7 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes 59.8% 312.91 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes 65% 106.08 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?Yes 54% 92.61 shares