cryptoverse38

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $30.36
Potential payout: $357.14
Potential profit: $326.79
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$44.64

Yes position

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $28.68
Potential payout: $197.8
Potential profit: $169.12
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$51.32

Yes position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $21.57
Potential payout: $172.59
Potential profit: $151.02
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$28.43

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $15.07
Potential payout: $158.65
Potential profit: $143.58
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$34.93

Netherlands position

Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $153.64
Potential profit: $153.64
User PnL: -$101

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $14
Potential payout: $133.33
Potential profit: $119.33
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$9.33

Yes position

Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $27.93
Potential payout: $107.43
Potential profit: $79.5
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: -$2.07

Yes position

Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $25.78
Potential payout: $103.13
Potential profit: $77.34
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: -$4.22

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.04
Potential profit: $98.04
User PnL: -$5

No position

SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.77
Potential profit: $68.77
User PnL: -$4.81

Yes position

Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 7.6%
Current value: $4.84
Potential payout: $64.1
Potential profit: $59.26
Multiplier: 13.25x
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $8.8
Potential payout: $60.68
Potential profit: $51.88
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$25.62

Yes position

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?

Implied probability: 49%
Current value: $28.06
Potential payout: $57.27
Potential profit: $29.21
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: $3.06

Over position

Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 12.5 Total Corners

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.25
Potential profit: $43.25
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $1.79
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $39.88
Multiplier: 23.31x
User PnL: -$3.21

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $4.81
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $33.65
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$0.19

Yes position

Katy Perry confirmed pregnant by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $35.64
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$4.93

Yes position

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $13.53
Potential payout: $34.25
Potential profit: $20.72
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$11.47

Yes position

Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?

Ends Dec 19, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $5.28
Potential payout: $25.77
Potential profit: $20.49
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$4.72

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $3.75
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $15.48
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Another Elon baby by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $19.14
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$4.91

Yes position

Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $4.81
Potential payout: $18.52
Potential profit: $13.7
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: -$0.19

Yes position

US strike on Colombia by December 31?

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $3.53
Potential payout: $17.24
Potential profit: $13.71
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$1.47

Yes position

Netherlands leading at halftime?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.53
Potential profit: $15.53
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $337.53

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $287.81

Yes position

Fanduel launches prediction markets with CME by end of 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210.94

Yes position

Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $209.11

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170.49

Yes position

Maduro out by January 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141.67

Yes position

US bank failure by January 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.28

No position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.77

Yes position

Argentina to win the second half?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.51

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.93

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.43

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.79

Yes position

Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.98

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Implied probability: 78.3%
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $32.52

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Implied probability: 99.5%
User PnL: $30.03

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of January?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.7

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.35

Yes position

Spain to win the second half?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.81

Yes position

Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.08

Yes position

US downs another Iranian drone by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.87

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.78

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.58

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.5

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?