No position
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $12.97
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $7.77
Polymarket Trader
0x6c7d...61e9
0x6c7d1c4b29349d90218decc0f193dc31fcef61e9
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $44.26
- Realized PnL
- $16.91
- Win rate
- 85.7%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $4.42
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $4.08
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $4.47
- Potential payout
- $8.2
- Potential profit
- $3.73
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$0.53
No position
Will Safepoint's market cap be between $900M and $1.1B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $7.01
- Potential payout
- $7.1
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $2.04
Yes position
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $1.32
- Potential payout
- $6.75
- Potential profit
- $5.43
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.57
No position
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $5.32
- Potential payout
- $6.33
- Potential profit
- $1.01
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $4.74
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $1.26
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $1.8
- Potential payout
- $3.31
- Potential profit
- $1.51
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $1.59
- Potential payout
- $3.05
- Potential profit
- $1.47
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $0.63
- Potential payout
- $2.79
- Potential profit
- $2.16
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$1.35
Resolved Context
Closed positions
N
No position
Will the biggest blowout win in the 2026 NBA Finals be by 30 or more points?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.06
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.92
No position
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56
No position
Will Quantinuum's market cap be at least $25B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
No position
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
No position
Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be below 1%?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
Yes position
Will Warsh say "Downside" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No 61% 8.2 shares
- Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?No 74% 6 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?No 79% 6.33 shares
- Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Yes 79% 6 shares
- Will Warsh say "Downside" during June Press Conference?Yes 42% 3 shares
- Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes 28% 6.75 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No 46% 8.5 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 55% 3.31 shares
- Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be below 1%?No 66% 3.05 shares
- Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No 80% 6.08 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?Yes 25% 6.56 shares
- Will Quantinuum's market cap be at least $25B at market close on IPO day?No 54% 3 shares