No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Current value
- $4.24
- Potential payout
- $4.48
- Potential profit
- $0.24
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Polymarket Trader
Golevka
0x6c8b6310a8428ad56bc23313d8d3a3b7d1826cb1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.26
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $3.06
- Potential payout
- $3.13
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.06
Yes position
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $0.98
- Potential payout
- $1.15
- Potential profit
- $0.17
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $1.09
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Current value
- $0.98
- Potential payout
- $1.05
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 64% 3.13 shares
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 83.6% 5.98 shares
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No 95% 1.05 shares
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Yes 87% 1.15 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No 92% 1.09 shares
- Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?Yes 90% 1.11 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.6% 4.48 shares