No position
Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.69
- Potential profit
- $31.69
- User PnL
- -$2
Polymarket Trader
Average-Acadian
0x6caca608ebcdd98e1d2878f71c71be3c5603a8a8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $13.04
- Realized PnL
- $5.53
- Win rate
- 88.2%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $7.22
- Potential payout
- $7.23
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $1.22
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $4.63
- Potential payout
- $4.7
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.6
- Potential profit
- $2.6
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $1.19
- Potential payout
- $2.27
- Potential profit
- $1.08
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $0.19
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Canadiens position
Canadiens vs. Lightning
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will Trump say "God" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will Trump say "Objective" or "Goal" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Trump dance during White House Easter Egg Roll on April 6?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 6?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 97.4% 3.08 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?Yes 48% 4.08 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No 51% 1.92 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?Yes 49% 4.08 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?No 93% 2.15 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?No 82% 1.22 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No 52% 1.92 shares
- Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31?No 6.3% 31.69 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No 44% 2.27 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?No 86% 1.16 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 6?No 97.2% 1.03 shares
- Canadiens vs. LightningCanadiens 40% 5 shares