Yes position
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.6%
- Current value
- $6.1
- Potential payout
- $44.84
- Potential profit
- $38.75
- Multiplier
- 7.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Polymarket Trader
0x6cb2...5586
0x6cb2639895c728d7181f292a4275cd18e2375586
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $35.19
- Realized PnL
- $104.69
- Win rate
- 54.5%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $0.64
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $24.37
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$1.37
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $4.41
- Potential payout
- $18.75
- Potential profit
- $14.34
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$1.59
No position
Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $9.71
- Potential payout
- $15.79
- Potential profit
- $6.08
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $6.71
Yes position
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $1.21
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $13.07
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$3.79
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $3.03
- Potential payout
- $9.62
- Potential profit
- $6.59
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$1.97
Yes position
Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections?
Ends Dec 23, 2027- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $4.89
- Potential payout
- $7.3
- Potential profit
- $2.41
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- -$1.11
Yes position
Will Futuro Nazionale get more votes than Lega in the next Italian general elections?
Ends Dec 23, 2027- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $5.21
- Potential payout
- $6.94
- Potential profit
- $1.74
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $0.21
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.67
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.29
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.4
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29
No position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.07
No position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?Yes 15.6% 44.84 shares
- Will Futuro Nazionale get more votes than Lega in the next Italian general elections?Yes 72% 6.94 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 42% 14.29 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 59% 21.92 shares
- Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections?Yes 82.2% 7.3 shares
- Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31?No 19% 15.79 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes 32% 18.75 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 75% 6.67 shares
- Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes 35% 14.29 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 99.9% 10.41 shares
- Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 30?No 34% 14.71 shares
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?No 40% 12.5 shares