No position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $8.55K
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $6.45K
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- $1.05K
Polymarket Trader
AlexLiu
@liu_web3
0x6cd517eaa88ba717fa3aa3d5047feb0ce387f2cf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $48.46K
- Realized PnL
- $24.21K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $6.45K
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $8.55K
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.05K
No position
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.1%
- Current value
- $7.62K
- Potential payout
- $9.52K
- Potential profit
- $1.9K
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$843.24
No position
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $7.13K
- Potential payout
- $7.23K
- Potential profit
- $97.56
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $251.96
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.6%
- Current value
- $753
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $5.25K
- Multiplier
- 7.97x
- User PnL
- $99
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Current value
- $367.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.63K
- Multiplier
- 13.61x
- User PnL
- -$182.5
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $922.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.08K
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $117.5
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Current value
- $307.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.69K
- Multiplier
- 16.26x
- User PnL
- -$107.5
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $682.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.32K
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$112.5
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Current value
- $307.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.69K
- Multiplier
- 16.26x
- User PnL
- $42.5
No position
Will New Zealand win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $1.92K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $82
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$7.65
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $1.6K
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- $42.23
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $1.53K
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $69.6
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $116.2
No position
Will the Democratic Republic of Congo win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $1.33K
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $72.8
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$15.22
No position
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $1.35K
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $53.9
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$7.6
No position
Will Uzbekistan win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $1.38K
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $20.3
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $13.7
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Current value
- $1.24K
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $64.35
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $161.24
Yes position
Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $1.19K
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $8.4
- User PnL
- $33.86
Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $918
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $282
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $133.1
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$875.81
No position
Will Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $984.04
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $16
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $55.58
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$507
No position
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $971.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $28.5
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $20.1
No position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $975.48
- Potential payout
- $999.98
- Potential profit
- $24.5
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.92K
Under position
Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 238.5
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.82K
No position
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win fewer than 120 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.73K
Yes position
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $956.53
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $720.82
Yes position
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $627.86
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $591.59
Yes position
Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $581.23
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $436.77
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $426.91
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $421.04
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $404.93
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $391.28
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $380.01
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $365.74
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $337.01
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $294.45
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $291.7
Yes position
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $282.51
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $260.3
No position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $256.28
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $249.12
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $240.52
No position
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $219.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?No 75% 40 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?No 5.5% 100 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 43% 200 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 53% 200 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 49% 200 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?No 99.1% 50 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 58% 200 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 58% 200 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 58% 200 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No 94.4% 100 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?No 99.3% 100 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?No 39% 100 shares