No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.67K
- Potential profit
- $54.67K
- User PnL
- -$206.17
Polymarket Trader
Lior-Pa
0x6cd84a3230d0b0837c8169f64b6ece55faafd98d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $3.35K
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $789.79
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $501.02
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $454.54
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $437.4
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $424.16
No position
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $288.8
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145.03
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.03
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.9
Yes position
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.59
No position
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.12
Yes position
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.82
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.74
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.3
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.67
No position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.13
No position
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.53
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.65
Yes position
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.95
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$4.4
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Multiplier
- 18.87x
- User PnL
- -$5.9
Yes position
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.5
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 78% 4,316.86 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes 0.5% 20,034 shares
- Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 77% 131 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 50,275 shares
- Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 77% 131 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 2.3% 4,391.3 shares
- Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 73% 140 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 88% 5.26 shares
- Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 66% 3,845.73 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 35.1% 7,313.31 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 27.3% 7,313.31 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 73.6% 2,710.72 shares