Polymarket Trader

bvcbdrt

0x6cde9259de1ecf196eb3e3ac68c79a9ef3e928c1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $172.87
Realized PnL: $280
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $172.87
Potential payout: $173.65
Potential profit: $0.78
User PnL: $2.87

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $162.93
Potential profit: $162.93
User PnL: -$160

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.64

No position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.62

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.92

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.34

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on April 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.1

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $7.47

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs RED Canids (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.83

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.19

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on January 14?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.06

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.9

No position

Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 3?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.76

No position

Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.99

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.59

Yes position

2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.26

No position

Zhang Youxia seen in public by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.24

Yes position

Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of November 17 above $260?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.18

No position

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.91

No position

Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.84

Yes position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase March 3-9?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.79

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 14?

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.71

No position

Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67

No position

Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.64

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 91% 186.81 shares
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

No 97.9% 173.65 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?

No 98% 132.59 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

No 97.6% 216.19 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

No 84.8% 117.92 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Yes 99.3% 322.26 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 12?

Down 90% 110.2 shares
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs RED Canids (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A

Vitality 96.7% 206.62 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?

No 99.3% 100.7 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Yes 95% 200 shares
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase March 3-9?

Yes 98.4% 111.79 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

No 98.2% 162.93 shares