No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $389.93
- Potential payout
- $396.88
- Potential profit
- $6.95
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $59.94
Polymarket Trader
0x6Ce57fD2b23F13ef22c3bFacF0d27375D1CEd3FC-1771144198003
0x6ce57fd2b23f13ef22c3bfacf0d27375d1ced3fc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $804.87
- Realized PnL
- $870.8
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $344.83
- Potential profit
- $344.83
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $329.28
- Potential profit
- $329.28
- User PnL
- -$150
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $264.1
- Potential profit
- $264.1
- User PnL
- -$213.85
No position
Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $247.78
- Potential profit
- $247.78
- User PnL
- -$206.18
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $116.56
- Potential payout
- $206.33
- Potential profit
- $89.78
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$8.44
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $155.48
- Potential payout
- $159.38
- Potential profit
- $3.9
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $25.48
No position
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $560 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $157.89
- Potential profit
- $157.89
- User PnL
- -$120
No position
Kash Patel out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $142.9
- Potential payout
- $144.93
- Potential profit
- $2.03
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $42.9
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $140.85
- Potential profit
- $140.85
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $135
- Potential profit
- $135
- User PnL
- -$101.25
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $745 Week of June 1 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $123.46
- Potential profit
- $123.46
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $98.04
- Potential profit
- $98.04
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will Google reach $355 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.2
- Potential profit
- $71.2
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66
- Potential profit
- $66
- User PnL
- -$49.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.82
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.71
No position
Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.76
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.7
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.7
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.36
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.06
No position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.81
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.09
No position
Kash Patel out by April 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.72
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $34
No position
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.03
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.02
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.74
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $735 Week of June 1 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
No position
US announces military support of Iran opposition by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23
Yes position
Will 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.8
No position
Will the Denver Nuggets win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.73
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.4
No position
Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.41
Yes position
Will NVIDIA reach $200 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.42
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.03
Yes position
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.17
Yes position
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.40 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.31
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?No 98.5% 112 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?No 99.1% 127.23 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 83% 120.48 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 60% 41.67 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 84% 135.71 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 85% 152.94 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 60.7% 164.67 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No 47.1% 106.1 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in June?No 71.9% 41.74 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in June?Yes 15% 258.68 shares
- Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $560 in June?No 76% 157.89 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in June?Yes 38.7% 258.68 shares