Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.6%
- Current value
- $276.52
- Potential payout
- $848.23
- Potential profit
- $571.71
- Multiplier
- 3.07x
- User PnL
- -$291.4
Polymarket Trader
NaughtyEmerson
0x6cee7b79e34db5d0c20a21ba9c81ca9c93d4ad03
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $276.52
- Realized PnL
- $216.47
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Diddy released from custody before December?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.05
No position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.71
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.83
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.24
No position
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.89
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.78
No position
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.61
No position
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.32
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.65
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.4
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.56
No position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.47
No position
Megaquake in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.51
No position
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Mavericks
Ends Nov 24, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Kings position
Kings vs. Clippers
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Joe Rogan be TIME's Person of the Year for 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Clippers position
Clippers vs. Timberwolves
Ends Dec 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Lakers position
Lakers vs. Heat
Ends Dec 12, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Bucks position
Hawks vs. Bucks
Ends Dec 12, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?Yes 67% 848.23 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?Yes 30.6% 575.55 shares
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 99.9% 182.24 shares
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 80.6% 182.24 shares
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 49% 102.04 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 98% 70.61 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 90% 70.61 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?No 92% 69.83 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?No 91% 69.84 shares
- OpenAI browser in 2025?No 28% 178.57 shares
- TikTok sale announced in 2025?No 60% 166.67 shares
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 75% 26.67 shares