Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 16.7%
- Current value
- $334
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- Multiplier
- 5.99x
- User PnL
- -$620.63
Polymarket Trader
terrytrl101
@terrytakes101
0x6cef9d09a0114bf160a1f6b8eef64f9c5e74af02
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.2K
- Realized PnL
- $3.47K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 83.3%
- Current value
- $1.67K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $334
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $666
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.6%
- Current value
- $1.22K
- Potential payout
- $1.53K
- Potential profit
- $312.74
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $683.16
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $454.99
- Potential payout
- $999.98
- Potential profit
- $544.99
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.1%
- Current value
- $424.8
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $375.2
- Multiplier
- 1.88x
- User PnL
- -$231.2
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $603.75
- Potential payout
- $750
- Potential profit
- $146.25
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $71.25
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.8%
- Current value
- $212.25
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $87.75
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- -$55.95
Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $142.64
- Potential payout
- $160.27
- Potential profit
- $17.63
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $54.05
No position
Will Grahm Platner drop out before the Midterms?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $48.71
- Potential payout
- $56.31
- Potential profit
- $7.6
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.3%
- Current value
- $51.94
- Potential payout
- $56.27
- Potential profit
- $4.33
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $11.99
No position
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $36.86
- Potential payout
- $46.36
- Potential profit
- $9.5
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $21.56
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $656.73
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $517.8
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $351.01
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $304.5
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300.51
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $271.58
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $139.01
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.2
No position
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.19
No position
MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $79.12
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.77
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.6
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.4
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.05
No position
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.55
Yes position
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.17
No position
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $33.57
No position
Zama auction clearing price above $0.05?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.5
No position
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28.2
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.64
No position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.6
No position
Over 25,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21
No position
Grokipedia released by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 74% 2,099.98 shares
- Will the announcers say "President" during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 35% 92.54 shares
- Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?No 26% 200 shares
- Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by September 30, 2026?No 0.2% 100 shares
- Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by September 30, 2026?Yes 89% 100 shares
- Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027?No 46% 5 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?Yes 0.6% 70.81 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?Yes 2.2% 70.81 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?Yes 2.4% 229.18 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?Yes 2.5% 29.19 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?Yes 2.6% 100 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?No 60% 166.94 shares