Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.8%
- Current value
- $1.55K
- Potential payout
- $10.52K
- Potential profit
- $8.97K
- Multiplier
- 6.78x
- User PnL
- -$47.33
Polymarket Trader
M4NO
@ellmanoo
0x6cf1785ea376bdc4e036a56cab7dad4ef94e3c6b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.68K
- Realized PnL
- $22.52K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $114.04
- Potential payout
- $121
- Potential profit
- $6.96
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $3.69
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.7%
- Current value
- $15.65
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $84.35
- Multiplier
- 6.39x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will Caleb Malhotra be drafted with the 3rd pick in the 2026 NHL Draft?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $0.74
- Potential payout
- $1.78
- Potential profit
- $1.04
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Islanders position
Islanders vs. Stars
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.73K
Capitals position
Capitals vs. Canadiens
Ends Nov 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.4K
Heat position
Knicks vs. Heat
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.14K
Yes position
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-22?
Ends Nov 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.39K
Rangers position
Rangers vs. Lightning
Ends Nov 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14K
Stars position
Stars vs. Senators
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
Yes position
Will Poland win on 2025-11-17?
Ends Nov 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $237.38
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.9%
- Multiplier
- 4.80x
- User PnL
- $237.14
Yes position
Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 Masters?
Ends Apr 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.87
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Multiplier
- 21.98x
- User PnL
- $153.5
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $126.76
Yes position
Will Greece beat England?
Ends Oct 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.18
No position
U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $87.48
Yes position
Will Elon tweet less than 250 times April 4 - 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.76
No position
Will Luis Suárez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.5
Yes position
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $56.25
Yes position
Kai and Speed win Fortnite before Tuesday?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.16
Yes position
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $50.03
Yes position
Another India military strike on Pakistan by Friday?
Ends May 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.96
Duke position
Louisville vs. Duke
Ends Mar 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45
Yes position
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- $40
Yes position
Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?
Ends Aug 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $34
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40m and 50m views?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.6
Yes position
Will 7-8 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.1% 30,000 shares
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?No 58.2% 376.45 shares
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?No 61.8% 66 shares
- Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?Yes 89% 800 shares
- Will Vitality reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes 46.3% 639.63 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.7% 30,000 shares
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 3.9% 17,734.4 shares
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.5% 39,999.77 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.5% 1,036.88 shares
- Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.9% 15,000 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10.8% 923.82 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.6% 2,725.81 shares