Polymarket Trader

okokokokok

0x6cf31245801f2a053b93b9d8b677fd6cdf5b47d4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $62.91
Realized PnL: $3.15K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.71K
Potential profit: $5.71K
User PnL: -$2.25K

Yes position

Monkeypox pandemic in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.31
Potential profit: $38.31
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $34.48
User PnL: -$10

No position

Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $12.46
Potential payout: $17.54
Potential profit: $5.09
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: $2.46

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 73%
Current value: $8.8
Potential payout: $12.05
Potential profit: $3.25
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: -$1.2

No position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $10.17
Potential payout: $11.63
Potential profit: $1.45
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will fomo.family be acquired in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $10.94
Potential payout: $11.34
Potential profit: $0.4
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.94

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $9.59
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.41
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $100B at market close on IPO day?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$1

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.71
Potential profit: $8.71
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $5.63
Potential payout: $6.02
Potential profit: $0.39
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.63

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $5.33
Potential payout: $5.45
Potential profit: $0.12
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.33

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Erdoğan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election?

Ends May 28, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.46K

No position

Fed rate cut by May 1?

Ends May 1, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $455.56

No position

Will Mbappé leave PSG?

Ends Sep 1, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $318.07

No position

Will Mbappé sign for Real Madrid?

Ends Sep 1, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.32

No position

Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140.39

No position

Fed rate cut by March 20?

Ends Mar 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.68

No position

Will BTC hit $50,000 by Jan 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.49

Yes position

Will Circle Internet (CRCL) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.91

Yes position

Will ETH hit $2,000 by EOY?

Ends Dec 31, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.98

Yes position

Blast airdrop by June 30?

Ends Jun 28, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.45

Yes position

Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?

Ends Dec 31, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.89

Yes position

SBF jail by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.67

No position

Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.62

No position

Will EthCC be postponed?

Ends Jul 17, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.96

No position

Will the Fed raise rates again in 2023?

Ends Dec 31, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.14

No position

Will $BTC hit $32,000 by Aug 4?

Ends Aug 4, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.69

No position

Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before Nov 1?

Ends Oct 31, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.77

No position

Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.43

No position

Opepen floor price over .69 ETH on July 28?

Ends Jul 28, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.57

Magnus position

FIDE World Cup Final: Magnus vs. Pragg

Ends Aug 24, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.67

No position

Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight?

Ends Jul 1, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.51

No position

$Bitcoin (Hpos10i) all time high by Jan 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.67

No position

North Korea nuke by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.63

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

No 57.4% 8.71 shares
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?

No 76% 6.58 shares
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

No 92.7% 5.39 shares
Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $100B at market close on IPO day?

Yes 11% 9.09 shares
Will Cerebras' market cap be less than $50B at market close on IPO day?

No 86% 5.81 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Up 92% 5.61 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Up 89% 5.62 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Down 99% 5.05 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Up 95% 5.26 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Up 95% 5.26 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Up 74% 8.19 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Up 61% 8.2 shares