Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $1.63K
- Potential payout
- $3.83K
- Potential profit
- $2.2K
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$33.22
Polymarket Trader
.0.
0x6cf833cd47e3cc3c6a5dd993b8ec362ec09f042f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.74K
- Realized PnL
- $12.08K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $514.68
- Potential payout
- $1.94K
- Potential profit
- $1.43K
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $50.33
Yes position
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $5.91
- Potential payout
- $1.69K
- Potential profit
- $1.68K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$59.3
Yes position
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $179.87
- Potential payout
- $1.56K
- Potential profit
- $1.38K
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$14.32
Yes position
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $3.25
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.54
Yes position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $134.53
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$196.51
Yes position
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $2.75
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.64
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.6%
- Current value
- $85.95
- Potential payout
- $900
- Potential profit
- $814.05
- Multiplier
- 10.47x
- User PnL
- $2.7
Yes position
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $2.25
- Potential payout
- $899.98
- Potential profit
- $897.73
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$6.15
Yes position
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $799.97
- Potential profit
- $797.97
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.2
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $556.15
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $143.85
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $121.78
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 70%
- Current value
- $308
- Potential payout
- $440
- Potential profit
- $132
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- -$33
Yes position
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $1.4
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $398.6
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$18.1
Yes position
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $399
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.2
Yes position
Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by between 3% and 6%?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.2
- Potential payout
- $399.99
- Potential profit
- $399.79
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$17.8
Yes position
Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $279.11
- Potential payout
- $384.98
- Potential profit
- $105.87
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $23.13
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $305.89
- Potential payout
- $379.99
- Potential profit
- $74.1
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $11.3
No position
Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $351.89
- Potential payout
- $353.31
- Potential profit
- $1.41
- User PnL
- $76.99
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 55%
- Current value
- $166.31
- Potential payout
- $302.38
- Potential profit
- $136.07
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- $36.8
Yes position
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $91.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $208.5
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$2.3
Yes position
Will Nancy Mace win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $299.99
- Potential profit
- $299.99
- User PnL
- -$75.5
Yes position
Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $34.8
- Potential payout
- $239.99
- Potential profit
- $205.19
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $81.13
- Potential payout
- $205.4
- Potential profit
- $124.27
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $9.21
No position
Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $1.5
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $198.5
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$26.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Trump wins every swing state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
Yes position
GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $910
Yes position
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $880.7
Yes position
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $790
No position
Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?
Ends Dec 17, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $768
Yes position
Will the Republican candidate win Iowa by 10.0% or more?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $748.89
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $717
Yes position
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Democrats flip Republicans by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $608.96
Yes position
Eight Trump Cabinet confirmations in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $562
Yes position
Will Republicans have 53 seats in Senate after election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $556.03
Yes position
Will Biden pardon Liz Cheney?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $513
No position
Liberals win majority in Canadian election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $492
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $422
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $390
Yes position
Will Biden pardon Adam Kinzinger?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $338
Yes position
Will TikTok be on the App Store on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $316.01
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $315.99
Yes position
GOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $290
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $257.5
Yes position
Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $245
Yes position
Will Trump say 'DEI' or 'diversity, equity, and inclusion' during the 2025 State of the Union?
Ends Mar 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $244.74
Yes position
Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $243
Yes position
Will Prince Andrew be named in Epstein files?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230
No position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $208
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 42% 1,000 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 41% 1,000 shares
- Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Yes 32% 2,000 shares
- Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?No 76% 200 shares
- Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?Yes 96.8% 1,033.08 shares
- Will Mikie Sherrill win by 9-12%?No 77% 194.81 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?No 78% 641.03 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?No 81% 617.28 shares
- Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?Yes 38.2% 131.01 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win by more than 25%?No 87% 1,149.43 shares
- Will Andrew Cuomo get between 30% and 35% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes 33.7% 593.83 shares
- Will Abigail Spanberger win by 12-15%?No 69% 289.71 shares