Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.6%
- Current value
- $7.77K
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $42.22K
- Multiplier
- 6.43x
- User PnL
- $3.03K
Polymarket Trader
Cartel
0x6cf9666d226fd3d660667f309eda8e1d56e79d9f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.8K
- Realized PnL
- $44.84K
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25K
- Potential profit
- $25K
- User PnL
- -$4K
Yes position
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $25
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.97K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.36K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
Ends Jan 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.33K
Yes position
Will Jerome Powell say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during December FOMC Press Conference?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.1K
Yes position
SEC approves first spot Bitcoin ETF on Jan 10?
Ends Jan 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.94K
No position
Will Trump win the South Carolina Primary by more than 50% of the vote?
Ends Feb 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.44K
Yes position
Will Jerome Powell say "cut" 7 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.24K
No position
Will JUP be above $1.00 one day after airdrop?
Ends Jan 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
Yes position
Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?
Ends Dec 13, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $677.74
Yes position
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February?
Ends Jan 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $365
No position
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
Ends Sep 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $273.23
Yes position
Will $MOODENG be listed first on Coinbase?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150
No position
Will Trump win the South Carolina Primary by between 10-20% of the vote?
Ends Feb 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
No position
Will Kristi Noem win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
Ends Sep 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.64
No position
Will Trump win the South Carolina Primary by less than 10% of the vote?
Ends Feb 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.1
No position
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
Ends Sep 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.4
Yes position
Assad leaves Syria before 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.04
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the South Carolina Republican Primary?
Ends Feb 21, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
Yes position
Will Pennsylvania be the tipping point state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Will Wisconsin be the closest state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.94
No position
Will Ron DeSantis win the South Carolina Republican Primary?
Ends Feb 21, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.4
Yes position
Will California move right in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Will New York move right in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
BTC ETFs first week combined AUM under $10 billion?
Ends Jan 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.5
Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the South Carolina Republican Primary?
Ends Feb 21, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.71
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 13.8% 3,138.14 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 9.5% 13,157.4 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes 21% 5 shares
- Will Jerome Powell say "cut" 7 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?Yes 54.6% 480.44 shares
- Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?Yes 54% 13,554.82 shares
- Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?Yes 49% 9,611.56 shares
- Will Jerome Powell say "price" 10 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?No 25.7% 1,020 shares
- Will Jerome Powell say "cut" 7 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?Yes 63.6% 1,968.35 shares
- Assad leaves Syria before 2025?Yes 88% 75.37 shares
- GOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?Yes 0.1% 4.29 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?Yes 99.2% 5,000 shares
- Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?No 97.5% 1,951 shares