Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.22
Polymarket Trader
aine270chastity
0x6d13bdd95c8c46581b3fbfab372baa63c3f62511
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- -$0.46
- Win rate
- 45.8%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
Will Nicușor Dan win by more than 12%?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will Elon tweet 525-549 times March 21-28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the Eastern Conference?
Ends Jun 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.22
No position
Will Nicușor Dan win by more than 12%?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will Elon tweet 525-549 times March 21-28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the Eastern Conference?
Ends Jun 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $125k in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Mario Grech be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference?
Ends Jun 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Italian small businesses – dismissals and related compensation referendum
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will federal spending decrease by $250-500b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Yes position
Will Perplexity AI buy TikTok?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.91
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No 86.6% 43 shares
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes 4.1% 29 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No 74% 50 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No 74% 31 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No 78.2% 52 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No 83% 52 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 43% 74 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No 84.3% 14 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?No 93.6% 28 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 88.6% 18 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 88.8% 18 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes 30% 53 shares