Yes position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $1.82K
- Potential payout
- $14K
- Potential profit
- $12.18K
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$2.47K
Polymarket Trader
slippy0
0x6d16c33b540069f5aa0d9f705b0d759dec927228
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.36K
- Realized PnL
- $15.55K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $903.7
- Potential payout
- $12.91K
- Potential profit
- $12.01K
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$2.29K
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $5.35
- Potential payout
- $10.71K
- Potential profit
- $10.7K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$82.03
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $3.5
- Potential payout
- $7K
- Potential profit
- $7K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.4K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $273
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $5.73K
- Multiplier
- 21.98x
- User PnL
- -$2.22K
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.8K
- Potential profit
- $5.8K
- User PnL
- -$633.02
No position
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.41K
- Potential profit
- $5.41K
- User PnL
- -$1.86K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.1%
- Current value
- $305
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.7K
- Multiplier
- 16.39x
- User PnL
- -$2.05K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.07
- Potential payout
- $4.15K
- Potential profit
- $4.14K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.6K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $94
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $3.91K
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$916.71
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.53K
Yes position
New pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $460
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $3.54K
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $25.01
Yes position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $580
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $3.42K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$269.98
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $539.11
- Potential payout
- $3.99K
- Potential profit
- $3.45K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$275.68
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $131.25
- Potential payout
- $3.5K
- Potential profit
- $3.37K
- Multiplier
- 26.67x
- User PnL
- -$163.17
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $5.17
- Potential payout
- $3.45K
- Potential profit
- $3.44K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $1.72
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.35
- Potential payout
- $2.69K
- Potential profit
- $2.69K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.49
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.2
- Potential payout
- $2.4K
- Potential profit
- $2.39K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.2
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.14
- Potential payout
- $2.28K
- Potential profit
- $2.27K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.05K
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.06
- Potential payout
- $2.12K
- Potential profit
- $2.12K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$16.3
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.7%
- Current value
- $183.83
- Potential payout
- $1.9K
- Potential profit
- $1.72K
- Multiplier
- 10.36x
- User PnL
- $79.73
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$165
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $48.24
- Potential payout
- $1.44K
- Potential profit
- $1.39K
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- -$162.76
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.57
- Potential payout
- $1.14K
- Potential profit
- $1.14K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.71
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $889.04
Yes position
Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $856.44
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $850.05
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $754.85
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $681.43
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $647.95
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $539.25
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $503.72
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $479.42
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $354.27
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $341.74
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $328.65
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $305.24
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $187.67
Yes position
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.53
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.85
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 4 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.91
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.6
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- $95.21
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 5.6% 1,794.9 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?Yes 52% 580.66 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?Yes 76% 115.57 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?Yes 74% 177.3 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?Yes 73% 12.77 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?Yes 74% 352.84 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?Yes 73% 161.81 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?Yes 73% 240.14 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?Yes 71% 564.21 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 73.4% 500 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 52% 500 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?Yes 4.6% 5 shares