Polymarket Trader

burto95

0x6d1af499a3a854fd15f94b7d21617c9f6d1a4fcd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $150.7
Realized PnL: $119.01
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $8.03
Potential payout: $276.92
Potential profit: $268.89
Multiplier: 34.48x
User PnL: $2.03

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $40.6
Potential payout: $41.52
Potential profit: $0.91
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $9
Potential payout: $22.78
Potential profit: $13.78
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.4
Potential profit: $14.4
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.94
Potential profit: $13.94
User PnL: -$10

No position

Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $13.57
Potential payout: $13.64
Potential profit: $0.07
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $11.01
Potential payout: $13.51
Potential profit: $2.5
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $1.01

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.51
Potential profit: $13.51
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will "Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.32
Potential profit: $13.32
User PnL: -$11.36

Yes position

Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.1
Potential profit: $13.1
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $7.37
Potential payout: $13.04
Potential profit: $5.68
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $1.37

No position

Will Scott Bottoms win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $12.04
Potential payout: $12.05
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $2.04

Yes position

Will "Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man" be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $10.51
Potential payout: $10.75
Potential profit: $0.25
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.51

No position

Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.75
Potential profit: $10.75
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $10.41
Potential payout: $10.75
Potential profit: $0.34
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.41

Yes position

Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.75
Potential profit: $10.75
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will 2000 Meters to Andriivka be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.64
Potential profit: $10.64
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $10.11
Potential payout: $10.42
Potential profit: $0.31
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $4.09
Potential payout: $9.62
Potential profit: $5.53
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$0.91

Yes position

Will "The Addams Family" be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.93
Potential profit: $8.93
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $7.58
Potential payout: $7.81
Potential profit: $0.23
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $2.58

No position

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $6.38
Potential payout: $6.76
Potential profit: $0.38
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.38

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.74

Yes position

Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.7

Yes position

Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.74

No position

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.75

Yes position

Will “The Beast in Me” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 18 2025)

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.58

Yes position

Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.46

Yes position

Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.44

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.38

Yes position

Will the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.11

Yes position

Will "Virgin River: Season 7" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.62

Yes position

Will Eric Adams drop out?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.47

Yes position

Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.41

Yes position

Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.34

Yes position

Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.32

Yes position

Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26

No position

Will "Stranger Things: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (December 2, 2025)

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.16

Yes position

Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.13

Yes position

Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?

Ends Oct 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.89

Yes position

Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.7

Yes position

Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 800k?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.61

Yes position

Will Peter Mutharika win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?

Ends Sep 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.56

Yes position

Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.06

No position

Will Biden pardon Trump?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.97

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by June 30, 2026?

No 98.9% 5.06 shares
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Yes 97.5% 21.03 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 88% 3.41 shares
Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 94.2% 5.31 shares
Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 94% 5.32 shares
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 93% 5.38 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

No 1.3% 76.92 shares
Will Trump say "Iran" during Pennsylvania events?

Yes 95% 4.21 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Down 66% 6.17 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Down 74% 6.76 shares
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?

Yes 87.9% 3.41 shares
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 93% 10.75 shares