No position
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $22.08
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $1.92
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $1.2
Polymarket Trader
0x6d1b...35c6
0x6d1b1f1e98b85998eef575c9df5d8a9adc0935c6
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $75.66
- Realized PnL
- -$1.56
- Win rate
- 31.6%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $20.24
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $1.76
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $1.98
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $0.43
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $21.57
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$1.77
Yes position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.6%
- Current value
- $13.31
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $6.69
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- -$1.01
No position
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $18
- User PnL
- -$7.74
Yes position
Maduro guilty of all counts?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $1.68
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $6.32
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.88
Yes position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $0.81
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $6.2
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $6.34
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $0.67
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Discord IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.4%
- Current value
- $2.6
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $3.4
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$1.76
No position
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $5.63
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $0.37
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $2.55
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $0.45
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.81
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.81
Yes position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $0.72
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
China coup attempt before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.7%
- Multiplier
- 3.49x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Multiplier
- 17.86x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Multiplier
- 25.64x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.44
Yes position
China coup attempt before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
Yes position
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$2.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No 89% 7 shares
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?No 18% 8 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 52.7% 6 shares
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 16% 7 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?Yes 10% 14 shares
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?Yes 16% 22 shares
- US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?Yes 16% 8 shares
- China coup attempt before 2027?No 97.2% 5 shares
- US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?No 77% 9 shares
- China coup attempt before 2027?No 92.8% 5 shares
- China coup attempt before 2027?Yes 7.3% 20 shares
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?Yes 7.2% 15 shares