Polymarket Trader

Edmond6

0x6d224f4a9b556d262f34bf1db2319ab2a6bdea55

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $160.46
Realized PnL: $1.97K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.53K
Potential profit: $3.53K
User PnL: -$353.86

Yes position

Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $750
Potential profit: $750
User PnL: -$97.5

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $730.85
Potential profit: $730.85
User PnL: -$384.82

No position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $721.15
Potential profit: $721.15
User PnL: -$326.87

Yes position

Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$63

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $552
Potential profit: $552
User PnL: -$145.04

No position

Trump announces new drug boat strike by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $499.99
User PnL: -$213.99

No position

U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $407
Potential profit: $407
User PnL: -$146.63

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $23.18
Potential payout: $272.73
Potential profit: $249.55
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$6.82

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $267.3
Potential profit: $267.3
User PnL: -$85.4

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $136.36
Potential payout: $218.18
Potential profit: $81.82
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $16.36

No position

Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $169.49
Potential profit: $169.49
User PnL: -$100

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $155.97
Potential profit: $155.97
User PnL: -$104.5

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.13
Potential profit: $111.13
User PnL: -$73.13

No position

Starmer out by June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110.98
Potential profit: $110.98
User PnL: -$57.09

No position

US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $103.93
Potential profit: $103.93
User PnL: -$50.84

Down position

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.84
Potential profit: $64.84
User PnL: -$37.61

Yes position

Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.15
Potential profit: $61.15
User PnL: -$50.76

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 4.8%
Current value: $0.91
Potential payout: $19.25
Potential profit: $18.34
Multiplier: 21.05x
User PnL: -$0.63

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $344.51

No position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $285.19

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $263.96

No position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200.27

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.68

No position

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107

No position

U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.39

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $70.4

Yes position

Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.1%
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $68.03

No position

Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.45

No position

U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.18

No position

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $50.4

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.42

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.85

No position

U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.54

No position

Will there be eleven or more announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.57

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.63

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.67

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.94

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.63

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.05

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.63

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.21

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 11% 272.73 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?

No 55% 218.18 shares
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

No 99.5% 200 shares
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

No 46% 200 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Yes 50% 188 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Yes 51% 188.63 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 67% 146.91 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 68% 146.91 shares
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Yes 8% 19.25 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 84.1% 120.48 shares
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?

No 51.4% 110.98 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 83% 120.48 shares