Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.3%
- Current value
- $205.55
- Potential payout
- $1.12K
- Potential profit
- $917.66
- Multiplier
- 5.46x
- User PnL
- -$294.45
Polymarket Trader
aloneintokyo
0x6d29d0a816369f015dbe094553d89f6d0e65414d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.36K
- Realized PnL
- $4.01K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $612.04
- Potential payout
- $617.28
- Potential profit
- $5.25
- User PnL
- $112.04
Yes position
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $535.71
- Potential profit
- $535.71
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $512.24
- Potential payout
- $527
- Potential profit
- $14.76
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $11.59
No position
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 33%
- Current value
- $102.5
- Potential payout
- $310.61
- Potential profit
- $208.11
- Multiplier
- 3.03x
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $153.52
- Potential payout
- $281.69
- Potential profit
- $128.17
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$46.48
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.9%
- Current value
- $236.56
- Potential payout
- $254.64
- Potential profit
- $18.08
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $36.56
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $192.93
- Potential payout
- $199.2
- Potential profit
- $6.27
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $42.93
No position
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $183.7
- Potential profit
- $183.7
- User PnL
- -$169
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $175.15
- Potential payout
- $179
- Potential profit
- $3.85
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $25.15
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Current value
- $165.17
- Potential payout
- $174.42
- Potential profit
- $9.24
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $15.17
Yes position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $157.76
- Potential payout
- $172.41
- Potential profit
- $14.66
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $7.76
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $139.85
- Potential payout
- $145
- Potential profit
- $5.15
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $39.8
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $111.86
- Potential payout
- $112.71
- Potential profit
- $0.85
- User PnL
- $11.86
Yes position
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $106.1
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $3.91
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $106.83
- Potential payout
- $107.53
- Potential profit
- $0.7
- User PnL
- $6.83
No position
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $104.53
- Potential payout
- $105
- Potential profit
- $0.47
- User PnL
- $2.89
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $104.17
- Potential profit
- $104.17
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $103.63
- Potential payout
- $103.89
- Potential profit
- $0.26
- User PnL
- $3.63
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $102.38
- Potential payout
- $103.31
- Potential profit
- $0.93
- User PnL
- $2.38
No position
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 62%
- Current value
- $51.67
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $31.67
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $1.67
Yes position
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $19.03
- Potential payout
- $74.63
- Potential profit
- $55.6
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$30.97
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $502.73
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $430.12
No position
Is $DJT real?
Ends Jun 21, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $429.44
No position
Paradex FDV above $750M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $348.7
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: Airdrops Edition
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $231
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $197.14
Yes position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190.42
No position
Will Rabby launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $168
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144.68
FaZe position
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.57
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.3
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k again in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.14
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.05
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.93
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.49
Yes position
Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.1
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.79
Yes position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.64
Yes position
Will Sung Jinwoo win Crunchyroll's Best Main Character Award for 2025?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.57
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.7
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.44
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 July meeting?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.89
No position
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.69
No position
Will xAI have the top AI model on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.62
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 67% 74.63 shares
- Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?Yes 81% 185.19 shares
- Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Yes 87% 172.41 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?Yes 72% 138.89 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 71% 281.69 shares
- Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Yes 96.5% 110 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?No 69.9% 143.06 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No 82.7% 60.46 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No 83.8% 179 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 75.3% 199.2 shares
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 79% 189.87 shares
- Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes 28% 535.71 shares