No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $15.95
- Potential payout
- $16.89
- Potential profit
- $0.94
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.95
Polymarket Trader
scd76
0x6d2b5176e6a571467f106d82c0140588d4a26a62
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $25.9
- Realized PnL
- -$196
- Win rate
- 29.4%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $9.95
- Potential payout
- $10.99
- Potential profit
- $1.04
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bayern Munich beat Shakhtar Donetsk?
Ends Dec 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
Yes position
Global heat increase between 1.28°C and 1.30°C for 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
No position
Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.34
Yes position
Will no leader be out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- -$4.87
Yes position
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.3
Yes position
Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the Lions win the NFC Championship?
Ends Jan 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the AfD win less than 10% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Trump and Biden shake hands at first debate?
Ends Jun 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$134.41
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 91% 10.99 shares
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 81% 14.81 shares
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 98.4% 335.02 shares
- Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 98.3% 1,622.71 shares
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 98.5% 335.03 shares
- Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 98.6% 1,622.72 shares
- Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Yes 20% 15 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 88.8% 16.89 shares
- Will no leader be out in 2025?Yes 4.6% 43.48 shares
- Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?Yes 93.3% 4.29 shares
- Xi Jinping out in 2025?No 91% 10.99 shares
- Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes 29.2% 28.47 shares