Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.3%
- Current value
- $4.54
- Potential payout
- $34.25
- Potential profit
- $29.71
- Multiplier
- 7.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
Polymarket Trader
0x6d45734d1F32C32c5A16A9b7FdA7E6eD317F02ED-1779918019917
0x6d45734d1f32c32c5a16a9b7fda7e6ed317f02ed
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $40.4
- Realized PnL
- -$25
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.6%
- Current value
- $5.92
- Potential payout
- $27.47
- Potential profit
- $21.55
- Multiplier
- 4.64x
- User PnL
- $0.92
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $9.34
- Potential payout
- $26.32
- Potential profit
- $16.97
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $4.34
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $7.68
- Potential payout
- $24.39
- Potential profit
- $16.71
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$2.32
Down position
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $12.23
- Potential payout
- $17.86
- Potential profit
- $5.62
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $7.23
Yes position
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $0.69
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $11.81
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $8
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 14.6% 34.25 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETDown 25% 8 shares
- Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?Yes 8% 12.5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETUp 44% 11.36 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETUp 95% 5.26 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETDown 29.1% 17.17 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETUp 36% 13.89 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:50AM-5:55AM ETDown 36% 13.89 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:45AM-5:50AM ETDown 61% 8.2 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.2% 27.47 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ETUp 38% 13.16 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ETUp 39% 12.82 shares