Yes position
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $187.5
- Potential payout
- $25K
- Potential profit
- $24.81K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$137.5
Polymarket Trader
PK123
0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.76K
- Realized PnL
- $2.91K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $82.5
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $14.92K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$345.17
Yes position
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $15.38
- Potential payout
- $10.25K
- Potential profit
- $10.23K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$14.42
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $332.49
- Potential payout
- $3.5K
- Potential profit
- $3.17K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$76.85
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Current value
- $83.25
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.42K
- Multiplier
- 18.02x
- User PnL
- $3.25
No position
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $1K
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $99
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$5.64
Yes position
Will Cameron Kasky be the democratic nominee for NY-12?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $999.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $3.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $996.5
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.6%
- Current value
- $375.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $624.5
- Multiplier
- 2.66x
- User PnL
- $215
Yes position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $115
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $885
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$65
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $19
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $981
- Multiplier
- 52.63x
- User PnL
- $9
Yes position
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $22.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $977.5
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $9.5
- Potential payout
- $999.96
- Potential profit
- $990.46
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $184.92
- Potential payout
- $999.58
- Potential profit
- $814.66
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$59.8
No position
Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $918.19
- Potential payout
- $992.64
- Potential profit
- $74.45
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $101.73
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $749.7
- Potential payout
- $876.84
- Potential profit
- $127.14
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $136.2
Yes position
Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $67.54
- Potential payout
- $500.28
- Potential profit
- $432.74
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $17.9
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.9%
- Current value
- $444.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $55.5
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.79
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $10.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $489.75
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- $1.25
Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Current value
- $32.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $467.25
- Multiplier
- 15.27x
- User PnL
- $11.25
No position
Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $427.24
- Potential payout
- $499.7
- Potential profit
- $72.46
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $26.79
No position
Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $427.07
- Potential payout
- $499.5
- Potential profit
- $72.43
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $26.34
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $23.21
- Potential payout
- $359.83
- Potential profit
- $336.62
- Multiplier
- 15.50x
- User PnL
- -$26.79
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $226.65
- Potential payout
- $250.45
- Potential profit
- $23.79
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $10.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $637.66
Yes position
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- $574.85
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $210.4
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris go on SNL?
Ends Nov 2, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $203.57
Vance position
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
Ends Oct 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.5
No position
Will Retirement Plan win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.05
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $91
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91
Yes position
Will Trump say "Hitler" during Georgia rally on October 28?
Ends Oct 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.36
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.5
Yes position
Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77
Yes position
Kristi Noem out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on November 19?
Ends Nov 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.3
No position
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.5
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.34
Yes position
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.7
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.15
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $48.25
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.05
No position
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.82
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $41
Yes position
Will Biden pardon Liz Cheney?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
Yes position
Will Ted Cruz vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
No position
Will Trump win 30% of Black men?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.27
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Trump out as President before 2027?Yes 10% 1,460.28 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo 59% 40 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes 15% 93.04 shares
- Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?No 79% 60 shares
- Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?No 84.7% 60 shares
- Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?No 91% 47.77 shares
- Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027?No 92% 628.5 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.9% 100 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 13.7% 100 shares
- Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 6% 38.6 shares
- Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 6.1% 16.39 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?Yes 62% 10 shares