Polymarket Trader

Lipo

0x6d7ea25346fc5ee4510683c55744f3a8eda9a7b0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.76K
Realized PnL: $7.76K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $98.44
Potential payout: $1.31K
Potential profit: $1.21K
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$6.56

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.09K
Potential profit: $1.09K
User PnL: -$340

No position

Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $648.07
Potential payout: $712.16
Potential profit: $64.09
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $148.07

Yes position

Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 62%
Current value: $343.08
Potential payout: $553.36
Potential profit: $210.28
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: -$56.91

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $76.85
Potential payout: $530
Potential profit: $453.15
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$45.05

No position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 95.2%
Current value: $354.09
Potential payout: $372.13
Potential profit: $18.05
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $78.04

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $114.87
Potential payout: $180.89
Potential profit: $66.03
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $4.87

Yes position

Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $123.68
Potential payout: $130.88
Potential profit: $7.2
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.65

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.8K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10AM ET

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $543.28

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 3, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $521.15

Yes position

Will Tisza win at least 120 seats?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $446.41

Yes position

Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?

Ends Jun 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $442.66

Simion position

Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $388.2

No position

Will Besiktas beat Bodo Glimt?

Ends Dec 12, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $364.99

No position

Ripple above $2.40 on December 20?

Ends Dec 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $307.9

Yes position

Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?

Ends Dec 13, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $285.48

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $254.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $224.78

Yes position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $222.97

Yes position

Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $215.99

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $214.44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10AM ET

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210.15

Yes position

Will there be a US Government shutdown?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $198.92

No position

Will TISZA win 46-50% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $191.54

No position

Another Houthi strike on Israel in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $148.47

No position

Bitcoin above $99,000 on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.95

Yes position

Will West Ham vs. Brighton end in a draw?

Ends Dec 21, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.25

No position

MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?

Ends Dec 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.66

Yes position

Will Bodo Glimt beat Besiktas?

Ends Dec 12, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.45

Yes position

Will the AfD win between 20% and 22% of the vote in the German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.93

Yes position

Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.15

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?

Yes 94% 130.88 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 30.1% 399.99 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 83.2% 44.73 shares
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Yes 95% 190.16 shares
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Yes 75% 190.16 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 90% 111.11 shares
Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

No 90.3% 49.68 shares
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

No 88% 86.42 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET

Up 37.8% 209.6 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET

Up 41% 80.73 shares
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12?

Up 40.5% 14.7 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 12.9% 155.04 shares