No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $4.25K
- Potential payout
- $9.34K
- Potential profit
- $5.09K
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$1.97K
Polymarket Trader
Turtleiny
0x6d828157379b72256a23acde685f97a36dd07d33
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.29K
- Realized PnL
- $34.15K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $3.17K
- Potential payout
- $3.19K
- Potential profit
- $17.55
- User PnL
- $117.01
Yes position
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.25K
- Potential profit
- $2.25K
- User PnL
- -$281.25
Yes position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$773.98
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.83K
- Potential profit
- $1.83K
- User PnL
- -$1.01K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $1.6K
- User PnL
- -$1.2K
Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.35K
- Potential profit
- $1.35K
- User PnL
- -$147.79
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $182
- Potential payout
- $1.33K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$18
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $212.89
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $940.97
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $62.89
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$110
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.1%
- Current value
- $60.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $939.51
- Multiplier
- 16.53x
- User PnL
- $9.5
Yes position
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $696.56
- Potential profit
- $696.56
- User PnL
- -$127.21
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- -$136.6
Yes position
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$470
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$256
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $312
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $88
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $68
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $52.62
- Potential payout
- $362.92
- Potential profit
- $310.3
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$247.38
Yes position
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $25
- Potential payout
- $199.98
- Potential profit
- $174.98
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$104.99
No position
Will Trump say "Cat" during healthcare event?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$92
Yes position
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35%
- Current value
- $14.7
- Potential payout
- $42
- Potential profit
- $27.3
- Multiplier
- 2.86x
- User PnL
- $3.55
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.15K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.31K
100k position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.14K
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.03K
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.52K
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $997.01
No position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $967.02
Nothing position
Nothing Ever Happens: May
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $964.19
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 9AM ET
Ends Aug 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $920.65
Yes position
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $864.38
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $699.53
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $647.02
No position
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $611.9
80k position
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $601.57
Yes position
Elon Musk tweets 25+ times Wednesday?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $581.85
No position
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $571.43
No position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $570
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $561.88
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 30?
Ends Aug 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $561.46
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $557.14
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $540.74
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 45% 1,000 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 59% 1,000 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 69% 400 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 71% 400 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 65% 44 shares
- Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?Yes 94% 500 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No 61% 400 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 13?No 99.1% 1,000 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 10% 200 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 12?No 88.5% 14.99 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 12?No 92.5% 222.19 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 11?No 92.2% 63.38 shares