Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.71
Polymarket Trader
0x6D84a1342EC1DaCBEF304490D6FE0CD8A4e979FE-1744417136525
0x6d84a1342ec1dacbef304490d6fe0cd8a4e979fe
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $15.68
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.64
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
No position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the first leader out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.71
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.64
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
No position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the first leader out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2025 National League Championship?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
N
No position
Will Elon tweet 220–234 times June 13–20?
Ends Jun 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Alberta join the US?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Alexis Ohanian buy TikTok before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27%
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will PRO win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Trump deport 1,000,000-1,250,000 people?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Alexander Albon finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will SER hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No 80.7% 63 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes 50% 8 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes 50% 30 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes 31% 116 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes 31% 111 shares
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No 96.6% 53 shares
- Will Alberta join the US?Yes 4.7% 18 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No 94.3% 41 shares
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes 3.2% 75 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes 29% 83 shares
- Will Alberta join the US?Yes 4.2% 74 shares
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No 96% 21 shares