Anthropic position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $174.93
- Potential payout
- $238
- Potential profit
- $63.07
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $32.13
Polymarket Trader
EricaDiaz2287
0x6d9374d15369da96786da839160c3d181b5c7f30
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $186.36
- Realized PnL
- $4.26K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $0.39
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $29.61
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- -$16.68
Yes position
Rippling IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $3.78
- Potential payout
- $28
- Potential profit
- $24.22
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$7.14
Yes position
Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $3.01
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $10.99
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
Yes position
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $2.04
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $9.96
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $1.9
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $2.1
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Free Patriotic Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.33
- Potential profit
- $1.33
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $0.31
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.7
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Southern Illinois Salukis position
Spread: Southern Illinois Salukis (-4.5)
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
Yes position
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the announcement on December 22?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $368
Yes position
Will Ja Morant be traded this season?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $345.87
Over position
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $291.51
No position
Will Jake Paul walk out to Something Different by Why Don’t We?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $281.5
Yes position
Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.12
No position
Will the US strike Iran next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.61
Yes position
Will Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC end in a draw?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $141.44
No position
Will Ethena be the top performing crypto for the week of March 9?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.32
Yes position
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.75
No position
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-02-07?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.47
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.13
Yes position
Over $600M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 40%
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- $104.88
No position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $88.7
Yes position
Will Trump post "Claude" or "Anthropic" on Truth Social this week?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $79.82
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 20?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.65
Yes position
Will "Anxiety - Doechii" win Best Music Video at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.45
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 4, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.39
Yes position
Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- $67.07
No position
Will Alexander Levy win the DP AfrAsia Bank Mauritius Open?
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.58
No position
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75%?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $60.6
Yes position
Will the Philadelphia Eagles be eliminated in the Wild Card Round?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55
No position
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.39
Yes position
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 21.7%
- Multiplier
- 4.62x
- User PnL
- $46.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?No 75% 887 shares
- Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?No 65% 887 shares
- Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 17% 127 shares
- Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - 19?Yes 14% 117 shares
- Will Fidesz-KDNP win 100-114 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?No 78% 900 shares
- Will Fidesz-KDNP win 100-114 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?No 83% 900 shares
- Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 18% 55 shares
- Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 18% 503 shares
- Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 18% 685 shares
- Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?No 27% 318 shares
- Will "They Will Kill You" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No 3.1% 536 shares
- Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?No 27% 318 shares