Polymarket Trader

4546318851

0x6dc1de9a25d85255b5647f6690babfdb347dd7ac

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $1.29K
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 13.8%
Current value: $137.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $862.5
Multiplier: 7.27x
User PnL: $77.5

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.6%
Current value: $195.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $804.5
Multiplier: 5.12x
User PnL: -$84.5

Yes position

Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $8.5
Potential payout: $999.98
Potential profit: $991.48
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$6.5

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $24.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $475.25
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: -$0.75

No position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $207.75
Potential payout: $361.3
Potential profit: $153.55
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $171.62

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 28.2%
Current value: $56.48
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $143.52
Multiplier: 3.54x
User PnL: $20.68

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $19.9
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $180.1
Multiplier: 10.05x
User PnL: -$2.9

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $38.7
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $161.3
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $21.9

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $14.08
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $185.92
Multiplier: 14.20x
User PnL: -$3.72

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.4%
Current value: $22.7
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $177.3
Multiplier: 8.81x
User PnL: -$11.7

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $11.9
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $188.1
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: -$5.7

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.4
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.6
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$8.8

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $199.9
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $0.1
User PnL: $79.9

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $79.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $20.5
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $5.5

France position

France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $88.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $11.5
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.75
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$26.45

Yes position

US congress stock trading ban before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $14.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $85.5
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$5.5

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $5.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $94.5
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$35.5

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 77%
Current value: $61.6
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $18.4
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $9.6

Yes position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $5.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $44.75
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$6.75

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $49.88
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $0.13
User PnL: $13.88

No position

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.4%
Current value: $47.68
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $2.33
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $7.47

Yes position

Will BP be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $1.09
Potential profit: $0.96
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $0.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?

No 10% 895.29 shares
France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance

France 89% 100 shares
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance

Germany 86% 50 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Yes 4.6% 200 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?

No 7.9% 150 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

No 72% 50 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.4% 200 shares
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?

Yes 93.9% 200 shares
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Yes 31.3% 20 shares
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

No 80% 200 shares
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

Yes 93% 150 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

Yes 4.4% 226.3 shares