tamam-tamam

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.54
Potential payout: $269.13
Potential profit: $268.59
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$23.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 46°C or higher on June 25?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $268.09
Potential profit: $267.96
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$24.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $1.58
Potential payout: $264.13
Potential profit: $262.55
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$22.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 45°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $263.09
Potential profit: $262.96
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$23.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C or higher on June 25?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.26
Potential payout: $259.13
Potential profit: $258.87
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$23.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 44°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.72
Potential payout: $241.11
Potential profit: $240.39
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$21.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 43°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $3.33
Potential payout: $195.73
Potential profit: $192.4
Multiplier: 58.82x
User PnL: -$14.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $5.59
Potential payout: $171.85
Potential profit: $166.26
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: -$10.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C or higher on June 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $149.91
Potential profit: $149.91
User PnL: -$13.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $145.89
Potential profit: $145.89
User PnL: -$13.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $144.91
Potential profit: $144.91
User PnL: -$13.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C or below on June 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $134.34
Potential profit: $134.34
User PnL: -$12.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $133.8
Potential profit: $133.8
User PnL: -$12.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C or below on June 25?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $131.17
Potential profit: $131.11
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$11.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $131.17
Potential profit: $131.11
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$11.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C or below on June 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $129.11
Potential profit: $129.11
User PnL: -$11.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $129.11
Potential profit: $129.11
User PnL: -$11.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $129.11
Potential profit: $129.11
User PnL: -$11.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 36°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125.92
Potential profit: $125.92
User PnL: -$11.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $124.91
Potential profit: $124.91
User PnL: -$11.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 39°C or higher on June 25?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $116.17
Potential profit: $116.06
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$10.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C or higher on June 25?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $101.5
Potential profit: $101.4
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$9.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96.58
Potential profit: $96.58
User PnL: -$8.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96.58
Potential profit: $96.58
User PnL: -$8.78

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $219.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $176.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $173.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C or below on June 24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $163.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $153.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $147.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C or below on June 24?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $140.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $129.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C or below on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $122.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $115.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 28.5%
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $112

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 25%
Multiplier: 4.01x
User PnL: $110.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 23?