No position
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.3%
- Current value
- $38.14
- Potential payout
- $84.29
- Potential profit
- $46.15
- Multiplier
- 2.21x
- User PnL
- -$19.18
Polymarket Trader
surfteats
0x6de165c214f1dadd5cb3b08c903ea9dc8bf9e4a4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $48.02
- Realized PnL
- $5.62K
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Current value
- $9.88
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $40.13
- Multiplier
- 5.06x
- User PnL
- -$3.63
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Nets position
Nets vs. 76ers
Ends Mar 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.56K
Celtics position
Celtics vs. 76ers
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $450.11
Bucks position
Bucks vs. Wizards
Ends Mar 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $339.99
Pistons position
Pistons vs. Pacers
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $254.02
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.45
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.53
No position
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2025-11-25?
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.86
49ers position
Panthers vs. 49ers
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.86
Arsenal position
Will PSV Eindhoven or Arsenal advance in the UCL Round of 16?
Ends Mar 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
Inter Milan position
Will Feyenoord or Inter Milan advance in the UCL Round of 16?
Ends Mar 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
Barcelona position
Will Benfica or FC Barcelona advance in the UCL Round of 16?
Ends Mar 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4500 in July?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Will Benfica win the FIFA Club World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.77
Grizzlies position
Grizzlies vs. Magic
Ends Mar 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
Thunder position
Timberwolves vs. Thunder
Ends May 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
Pacers position
Wizards vs. Pacers
Ends Apr 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $140K in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
NATO article 5 before March?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-08?
Ends Apr 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.68
Yes position
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-04-08?
Ends Apr 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-26?
Ends Nov 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.88
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026No 68% 84.29 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 81% 55 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?No 97% 44.81 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?No 80% 109.99 shares
- Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-26?Yes 75% 13.17 shares
- Pistons vs. PacersPistons 80% 1,270.1 shares
- Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2025-11-25?No 71% 9.87 shares
- Panthers vs. 49ers49ers 78% 13 shares
- Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?Yes 83% 20.16 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?No 97.7% 17.09 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?No 96.9% 34.18 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 27% 50 shares