Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $179.49
- Potential profit
- $179.49
- User PnL
- -$118.64
Polymarket Trader
Calmlyyy
0x6de6546532fa651050d45a61daefc2439e77f3e4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $849.76
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 6, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $110.48
- Potential profit
- $110.48
- User PnL
- -$76.66
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $108.37
- Potential profit
- $108.37
- User PnL
- -$34.4
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 1, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $102.02
- Potential profit
- $102.02
- User PnL
- -$69.27
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 24, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $97.56
- Potential profit
- $97.56
- User PnL
- -$31.67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $87.43
- Potential profit
- $87.43
- User PnL
- -$40.46
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 4, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $85.91
- Potential profit
- $85.91
- User PnL
- -$25.14
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $85
- Potential profit
- $85
- User PnL
- -$24.93
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $73.86
- Potential profit
- $73.86
- User PnL
- -$4.43
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $68
- Potential profit
- $68
- User PnL
- -$25.48
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $64.4
- Potential profit
- $64.4
- User PnL
- -$22.15
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.92
- Potential profit
- $63.92
- User PnL
- -$48.57
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.09
- Potential profit
- $63.09
- User PnL
- -$35.47
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 1, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.07
- Potential profit
- $62.07
- User PnL
- -$18.59
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 6, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.91
- Potential profit
- $58.91
- User PnL
- -$37.16
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.59
- Potential profit
- $55.59
- User PnL
- -$24.51
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 6, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.05
- Potential profit
- $53.05
- User PnL
- -$28.12
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.78
- Potential profit
- $51.78
- User PnL
- -$20.91
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.79
- Potential profit
- $50.79
- User PnL
- -$42.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.5
- Potential profit
- $50.5
- User PnL
- -$36.29
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.13
- Potential profit
- $49.13
- User PnL
- -$39.69
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.86
- Potential profit
- $46.86
- User PnL
- -$27.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.55
- Potential profit
- $45.55
- User PnL
- -$13.84
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.95
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 6, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.82
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 4, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.44
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.95
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 33-34°F on February 2?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.06
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.15
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.8
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.66
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.99
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.06
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 5?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.37
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.02
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.93
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 24, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.36
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.24
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 7, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.71
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.76
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.67
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 6, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.21
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.93
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 6, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.64
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 4?Yes 3.1% 42.9 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 3?No 42.2% 35.08 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 104-105°F on July 3?No 82% 45.12 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 3?Yes 5% 40 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 3?No 57% 35.09 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - March 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETDown 97% 10.26 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - March 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETDown 47% 10.1 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETUp 37% 10.27 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETDown 46.9% 10.12 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETUp 20% 0.33 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETUp 36% 10 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETUp 41% 10.18 shares