No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $27.58K
- Potential payout
- $28.48K
- Potential profit
- $897.07
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Polymarket Trader
0x12c5980034a1c2a8FE1154Ba00913c0f25962586-1758224825618
0x6debcda3ccc008512151afe37bc3676e5e50eb68
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $60.37K
- Realized PnL
- $1.03K
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.9%
- Current value
- $17.35K
- Potential payout
- $20.21K
- Potential profit
- $2.86K
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $523.9
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $92.96
- Potential payout
- $8.45K
- Potential profit
- $8.36K
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- -$221.03
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $8.07
- Potential payout
- $5.38K
- Potential profit
- $5.37K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$3.62K
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $4.56K
- Potential payout
- $5.15K
- Potential profit
- $592.12
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $190.74
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.4%
- Current value
- $4.32K
- Potential payout
- $5.06K
- Potential profit
- $739.26
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $122.2
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $4.29
- Potential payout
- $4.29K
- Potential profit
- $4.29K
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.84K
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $2.82K
- Potential payout
- $2.86K
- Potential profit
- $41.45
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $273.5
No position
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $1.52K
- Potential payout
- $1.59K
- Potential profit
- $60.23
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $10.64
No position
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $1.26K
- Potential payout
- $1.27K
- Potential profit
- $15.28
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $25.59
No position
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $851.05
- Potential payout
- $1.07K
- Potential profit
- $219.45
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $16.57
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $530.67
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal before ceasefire ends?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $461
Knicks position
Spurs vs. Knicks
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $197.47
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $157.76
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.33
Knicks position
Spurs vs. Knicks
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $33.33
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$384.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes 3.7% 8,451.11 shares
- Spurs vs. KnicksKnicks 23% 69.57 shares
- Spurs vs. KnicksKnicks 41% 243.9 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?No 82% 11,000 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 95.3% 490.43 shares
- Spurs vs. KnicksKnicks 66% 277.77 shares
- Spurs vs. KnicksKnicks 54% 277.78 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?No 83% 233.26 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?No 83% 5,371.08 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 95.5% 817.65 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?No 43% 4,290.7 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 96.7% 4,446.74 shares