Polymarket Trader

Poiuztrewq

0x6df766e3e23ecf297342f37b5783ac066fb8afb0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $573.86
Realized PnL: $83.81K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $75
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.93K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $12.44
Potential payout: $3.55K
Potential profit: $3.54K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$113.21

Yes position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $37.3
Potential payout: $3.55K
Potential profit: $3.51K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$138.43

Yes position

Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $22.75
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $3.48K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$115.6

Yes position

Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $17.5
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $3.48K
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$111.85

Yes position

Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $9.24
Potential payout: $3.08K
Potential profit: $3.07K
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$112.46

Yes position

Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $17
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.98K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $21
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.98K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $74
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.93K
Multiplier: 27.03x
User PnL: -$74.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.57K
Potential profit: $1.57K
User PnL: -$163.59

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.56K
Potential profit: $1.56K
User PnL: -$244.34

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.55K
Potential profit: $1.55K
User PnL: -$59.46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.55K
Potential profit: $1.55K
User PnL: -$59.46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.55K
Potential profit: $1.55K
User PnL: -$59.46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.55K
Potential profit: $1.55K
User PnL: -$59.46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.55K
Potential profit: $1.55K
User PnL: -$59.46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.55K
Potential profit: $1.55K
User PnL: -$59.46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.55K
Potential profit: $1.55K
User PnL: -$59.46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.55K
Potential profit: $1.55K
User PnL: -$59.46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.55K
Potential profit: $1.55K
User PnL: -$59.46

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $23.65
Potential payout: $1.53K
Potential profit: $1.5K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$39.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$56.94

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$56.94

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $262.5
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.24K
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $204.81

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon tweet between 220 and 239 times September 5–12?

Ends Sep 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.2K

Yes position

Will Elon tweet between 450 and 479 times August 29–September 5?

Ends Sep 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.13K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?

Ends Sep 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.09K

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 195–209 times August 22–August 29?

Ends Aug 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.96K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.61K

Yes position

Will Elon tweet less than 250 times August 15–August 22?

Ends Aug 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.59K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.58K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.36K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.09K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?

Ends Sep 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.05K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.03K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.98K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.9K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.84K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.55K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.55K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.51K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.46K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.44K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.44K

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 500–524 times August 8–August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.44K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.38K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.32K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.31K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 94.9% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 1% 485.13 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 3.2% 451.32 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 95.6% 363.82 shares
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 1.2% 630 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 3.6% 664.8 shares
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 1.4% 0.99 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 96.1% 664.8 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 1,399.88 shares
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 13.5 Total Corners

Over 15% 50 shares
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 12.5 Total Corners

Over 20% 27 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 2% 291.66 shares