No position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.04
Polymarket Trader
mckayla531carter
0x6e1a67ade5831c85ab36503ad05b1f9f0a1b00b0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.94
- Realized PnL
- $10.61
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $0.94
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33
Yes position
Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 National League Championship?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.73
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 200-209 times April 4 - 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.35
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $0.54
Yes position
Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Ends Dec 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Multiplier
- 23.53x
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on March 8?
Ends Mar 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will Elon tweet 675-699 times March 14-21?
Ends Mar 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will Trump say "bigly" by March 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 53°F or higher on March 23?
Ends Mar 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.8% in March?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.4%
- Multiplier
- 2.68x
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Ends Dec 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will João Fonseca be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Elon tweet 600-624 times March 7-14?
Ends Mar 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the New Democratic Party win the third most seats in the next Canadian Election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 3.5% 4.07 shares
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 3.7% 80 shares
- Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes 2.8% 16 shares
- Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes 2.9% 120 shares
- Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes 2.8% 136 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 95.9% 32 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 96.2% 41 shares
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 4.1% 80 shares
- Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 96% 37 shares
- Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?No 88.5% 41 shares
- Starmer out by April 30, 2026?No 96.5% 41 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 83.3% 43 shares