Polymarket Trader

0x6e1bA9faD9B90944797621077CE3b1DA28998833-1776999871842

0x6e1ba9fad9b90944797621077ce3b1da28998833

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $138.6
Realized PnL: $31.89
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 8
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $248.45
Potential profit: $248.45
User PnL: -$19.26

Down position

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $127.04
Potential profit: $127.04
User PnL: -$62.7

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 18.7%
Current value: $15.39
Potential payout: $82.3
Potential profit: $66.91
Multiplier: 5.35x
User PnL: -$4.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.2
Potential profit: $66.2
User PnL: -$8.61

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.14
Potential profit: $66.14
User PnL: -$10

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.56
Potential profit: $60.56
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $8.22
Potential payout: $44.45
Potential profit: $36.23
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$11.78

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $29.63
Potential payout: $37.04
Potential profit: $7.41
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: -$0.37

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $35.71
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $20.83
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $12.5
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $0.83

No position

Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $20.95
Potential payout: $31.75
Potential profit: $10.79
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: $0.95

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $23.09
Potential payout: $24.69
Potential profit: $1.6
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $3.09

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.39
Potential profit: $24.39
User PnL: -$10

No position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $20.48
Potential payout: $24.1
Potential profit: $3.61
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $0.48

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.16
Potential profit: $13.16
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.52

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.91

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.22

No position

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 35%
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: $5.99

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.78

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by May 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.74

No position

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$2.27

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?

No 63% 31.75 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Yes 81% 37.04 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 24.3% 82.3 shares
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

No 17.6% 90.9 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?

Up 36% 27.78 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 81% 24.69 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?

No 87.8% 22.78 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Yes 60% 33.33 shares
Will Trump visit China by May 15?

Yes 92% 21.74 shares
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

Yes 45% 44.44 shares
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

No 83% 24.1 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?

Up 61% 32.79 shares