Polymarket Trader

Fideliors

0x6e279779cef070d9b45acfe54b44a026bfacaccc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $110.22
Realized PnL: $428.99
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $4.31
Potential payout: $221.28
Potential profit: $216.96
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$4.38

Yes position

Ledger IPO closing market cap above $3B?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $42.53
Potential payout: $105
Potential profit: $62.48
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$12.08

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $10.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $89.95
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: -$3.1

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $7.04
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $92.96
Multiplier: 14.20x
User PnL: -$1.56

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$3.2

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$5.55

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$80

Yes position

Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.76
Potential profit: $56.76
User PnL: -$1.65

No position

Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.28
Potential profit: $31.28
User PnL: -$14.6

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$11.4

No position

Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $20
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $19.99
Potential profit: $19.89
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$3.9

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $10.51
Potential payout: $11.36
Potential profit: $0.85
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.51

No position

World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.9

Yes position

Katy Perry confirmed pregnant by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.97
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$1.47

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $5.65
Potential payout: $7.2
Potential profit: $1.55
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $1.19

Yes position

Will Ghislaine Maxwell Testify to Congress about Epstein?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.02
Potential profit: $1.02
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.41

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.03

Seahawks position

Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.42

Grizzlies position

Spread: Pistons (-17.5)

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.2

Raptors position

Spread: Raptors (-5.5)

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.3

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.6

Nets position

Spread: Pistons (-16.5)

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.2

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22

Yes position

Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.06

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Hawks position

Spread: Hawks (-4.5)

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Bucks position

Mavericks vs. Bucks

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.5

Yes position

GPT-5.5 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.77

Sharks position

Sharks vs. Canadiens

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.5

Celtics position

Celtics vs. Lakers

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.2

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.52

Over position

Spurs vs. Mavericks: O/U 226.5

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.26

Under position

VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 153.5

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12

76ers position

Nets vs. 76ers

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11

Stars position

Stars vs. Canucks

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.8

Under position

Boston College Eagles vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish: O/U 135.5

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.41

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.2

Celtics position

Celtics vs. Suns

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.9

Patriots position

Patriots vs. Broncos

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.85

No position

Will Ethena reach $0.20 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.28

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Elche CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5

Under 74% 50 shares
VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 153.5

Under 60% 29.87 shares
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs

Gonzaga Bulldogs 70% 49.82 shares
Mavericks vs. Bucks

Bucks 65% 50 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

Up 1% 139 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

Up 26% 29.72 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

Up 43% 29.55 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Up 23% 29.76 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Up 47% 20 shares
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs

Gonzaga Bulldogs 96% 9.99 shares
Spread: North Carolina Tar Heels (-2.5)

North Carolina Tar Heels 49% 9.96 shares
Jets vs. Bruins: O/U 4.5

Over 79% 10 shares