noytam

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.06
Potential profit: $70.06
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on June 21?

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $25.94
Potential payout: $26.82
Potential profit: $0.89
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $4.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.64
Potential profit: $25.64
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $0.34
Potential payout: $17.24
Potential profit: $16.9
Multiplier: 50.00x
User PnL: -$0.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.67
Potential profit: $10.67
User PnL: -$0.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $5.56
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.75
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $4
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $4
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $3.33
Potential profit: $2.38
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 43%
Current value: $1.34
Potential payout: $3.13
Potential profit: $1.78
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: $0.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.94
Potential profit: $2.94
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.86
Potential profit: $2.86
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 33%
Current value: $0.85
Potential payout: $2.56
Potential profit: $1.72
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.56
Potential profit: $2.56
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5
Potential profit: $2.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.44
Potential profit: $2.44
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $2.38
Potential profit: $1.37
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $2.22
Potential profit: $1.23
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on April 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 5?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 4?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on April 6?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.43

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 5?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 6?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 8?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 9°C on April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 9?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on April 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on April 6?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on April 8?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on April 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on April 8?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on April 9?