Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $95.34
- Potential payout
- $95.34
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $5.34
Polymarket Trader
sanqiershiyi
0x6e47ab3152b4173b5bfa1651f4e795dd3ed1276a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $100.32
- Realized PnL
- $16.16
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.89
- Potential profit
- $19.89
- User PnL
- -$4.73
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $4.98
- Potential payout
- $5.08
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.28
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.52
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.69
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.64
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.47
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.16
No position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.96
No position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.81
No position
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.84
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.84
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
TikTok sale announced before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07
No position
Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 15?
Ends Oct 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
TikTok banned in the US by June 30?
Ends Jun 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.2%
- Multiplier
- 4.32x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.91
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2024 Euros?
Ends Jul 14, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.62
No position
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$17.67
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No 98.4% 5.08 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 31?Yes 94.4% 95.34 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ETUp 23.8% 19.89 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:15AM-2:20AM ETDown 96% 55.75 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:15AM-2:20AM ETDown 95% 20.98 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:15AM-2:20AM ETDown 92% 10.81 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:15AM-2:20AM ETDown 88% 11.27 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No 90.1% 100.88 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No 91% 100.88 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 28.4% 4.73 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 27.6% 327.72 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 27.7% 332.45 shares