No position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $104.72K
- Potential profit
- $104.72K
- User PnL
- -$650.18
Polymarket Trader
Phantom69
0x6e4b8009426dd540f27797ffc326188c223b3c6d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.65K
- Realized PnL
- $60.99K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $5K
- Potential payout
- $50.27K
- Potential profit
- $45.27K
- Multiplier
- 10.05x
- User PnL
- -$13.09K
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.63K
- Potential profit
- $19.63K
- User PnL
- -$10.93K
No position
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.9K
- Potential profit
- $13.9K
- User PnL
- -$3.8K
No position
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.86K
- Potential profit
- $10.86K
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.01K
- Potential profit
- $4.01K
- User PnL
- -$9.44
No position
Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.91K
- Potential profit
- $3.91K
- User PnL
- -$101.66
Yes position
Will Powell say "Balance Sheet" during April press conference?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $1.7K
- User PnL
- -$896.69
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $644.52
- Potential payout
- $1.16K
- Potential profit
- $516.77
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$75.48
Yes position
Will Powell say "Successor" during April press conference?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $135.46
- Potential profit
- $135.46
- User PnL
- -$86.69
No position
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $119.99
- Potential profit
- $119.99
- User PnL
- -$43.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$19.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.36K
Yes position
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.35K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.43K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.01K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.83K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.69K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.55K
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.75K
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $1.49K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44K
No position
Will TikTok be banned again before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
Yes position
Will Marcel Ciolacu win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $988.27
Yes position
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $975.91
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $934.23
Yes position
Will Powell say "Iran" during April press conference?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $754.8
Yes position
Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $694.76
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $663.54
Yes position
Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $577.66
No position
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $554.61
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 62% 1,161.29 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10.7% 6,909.62 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 9% 44.44 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10.8% 6,909.63 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 6.6% 6,183.34 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 13.2% 3,775.14 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 46% 150 shares
- Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No 40.8% 171 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 41% 12.2 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 50.3% 3,971.09 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.7% 285.71 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 47% 5,460 shares