Polymarket Trader

RidingWithTheGhost

0x6e5136f05183fd2a89ef99d8a4fbd118a7e3df61

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $487.89
Realized PnL: -$60.74
Win rate: 22.7%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 22
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.7%
Current value: $29.2
Potential payout: $156.57
Potential profit: $127.37
Multiplier: 5.36x
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 21, 2027

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $115.7
Potential payout: $143.73
Potential profit: $28.03
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $0.7

No position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $74.71
Potential payout: $123.48
Potential profit: $48.78
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $9.71

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $47.56
Potential payout: $88.89
Potential profit: $41.33
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $7.56

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $45.39
Potential payout: $80.36
Potential profit: $34.96
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $0.39

Yes position

Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF?

Ends Nov 7, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $35.4
Potential payout: $67.42
Potential profit: $32.02
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: -$1.01

Jakub Mensik position

Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.5
Potential profit: $59.5
User PnL: -$14.28

Yes position

Will Lana Del Rey release a new album by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 12.7%
Current value: $5.15
Potential payout: $40.58
Potential profit: $35.42
Multiplier: 7.87x
User PnL: -$4.85

Yes position

Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $12.35
Potential payout: $40.48
Potential profit: $28.13
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$13.15

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.47
Potential profit: $39.47
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $29.45
Potential payout: $36.14
Potential profit: $6.69
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$0.55

No position

Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $13.28
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $21.21
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$6.72

No position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31
Potential profit: $31
User PnL: -$23.56

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $21.04
Potential payout: $29.85
Potential profit: $8.81
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $1.04

No position

Evo Morales arrested by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $26.84
Potential payout: $27.82
Potential profit: $0.97
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $4.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.78
Potential profit: $24.78
User PnL: -$13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.32
Potential profit: $23.32
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $20.64
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $0.2
User PnL: $5.64

Yes position

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $11.18
Potential payout: $18.18
Potential profit: $7
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$0.82

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.87
Potential profit: $10.87
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.2
Potential profit: $10.2
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.27

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.82

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Manel Kape position

UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape (Flyweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$1.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$17

Yes position

Will Maja Chwalińska win the 2026 Women’s French Open?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25

No position

Starmer out by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$35

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?

No 76% 31 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 86% 23.74 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19.8% 156.57 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 67% 29.85 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET

Down 85% 14.12 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Up 52% 23.08 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Up 51% 23.53 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Up 51% 23.53 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

Up 47% 25.53 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

Up 46% 26.09 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

Up 86% 5.81 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

Up 79% 10.13 shares