No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $428.33
- Potential payout
- $430.27
- Potential profit
- $1.94
- User PnL
- $0.33
Polymarket Trader
SomeBodyOnceToldMe
0x6e5f96b6b1cee2a349a34726dd653e0fb6029d60
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $826.25
- Realized PnL
- $3.23K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $397.92
- Potential payout
- $416.67
- Potential profit
- $18.75
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$2.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $451.55
No position
Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $321.09
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $315.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $275.34
No position
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $227.65
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181.36
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.91
Yes position
Will Barbenheimer overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens?
Ends Nov 16, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.66
No position
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.41
No position
Will GPT-5 be released by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.18
No position
Will ‘Taylor Swift: Eras Tour’ have a bigger opening weekend than 'Barbie'?
Ends Oct 16, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.52
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.7
Yes position
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia by September 15?
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.96
No position
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.68
No position
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real?
Ends Dec 31, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.16
No position
US lifts Russia sanctions before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.67
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.44
Yes position
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.06
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 2?
Ends Apr 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.23
No position
Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.87
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.83
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.23
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 99.6% 339.36 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 96% 416.67 shares
- Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?Yes 27% 37.04 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 99% 90.91 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 99.9% 100 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 7% 4.46 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 99.8% 733 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 93% 105.38 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No 98.1% 100 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 56% 4.46 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No 96% 156.25 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 76% 200.04 shares