Yes position
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?
Ends Jan 3, 2027- Implied probability
- 62%
- Current value
- $122.74
- Potential payout
- $197.97
- Potential profit
- $75.23
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $29.35
Polymarket Trader
Ideal-Needle
0x6e653b0db70d64787c228c2a88f7caeaa8030601
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $122.74
- Realized PnL
- $35.12
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.79
Yes position
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.24
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown last 52 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
Yes position
Will Artemis II launch by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?Yes 47.2% 197.97 shares
- Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?Yes 99.3% 13.33 shares
- Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?Yes 75% 13.33 shares
- Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?Yes 87% 45.73 shares
- Will the DHS shutdown last 52 days or more?Yes 97.7% 12.31 shares
- Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?Yes 21.9% 45.73 shares
- Will the DHS shutdown last 52 days or more?Yes 81.2% 12.32 shares
- Will Artemis II launch by April 30?Yes 94.9% 1.05 shares