Polymarket Trader

trashcan - 32636

0x6e6a209301d1a67bfe85ad44ce64118506ce2720

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $896.3
Realized PnL: $17.92K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.13K
Potential profit: $3.13K
User PnL: -$519.98

No position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $412.5
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.09K
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$132.5

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.88K
Potential profit: $1.88K
User PnL: -$120.39

No position

Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.55K
Potential profit: $1.55K
User PnL: -$540.35

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.46K
Potential profit: $1.46K
User PnL: -$700.32

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $891.67
Potential profit: $891.67
User PnL: -$140

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $833.33
Potential profit: $833.33
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$135

No position

Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$449.1

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $383.8
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $16.2
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $19.4

Sharks position

Sharks vs. Stars

Ends Dec 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $396.77
Potential profit: $396.77
User PnL: -$76.24

Kraken position

Kraken vs. Oilers

Ends Dec 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $294.44
Potential profit: $294.44
User PnL: -$23.5

Kings position

Capitals vs. Kings

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $285.22
Potential profit: $285.22
User PnL: -$91

Bengals position

Bengals vs. Bills

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $176.47
Potential profit: $176.47
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $100
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $74.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.16K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.55K

No position

Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.53K

No position

Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $659.74

No position

Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $604.98

Yes position

Will the Florida Panthers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $602.82

Yes position

RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $580

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $520.65

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $494.8

No position

Solana above $200 on February 21?

Ends Feb 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $400

Yes position

Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $356.84

No position

Will a Canadian team win NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $335.06

No position

Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $255.93

Panthers position

Panthers vs. Oilers

Ends Jun 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $250

No position

Will Kanye launch a coin in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $229.36

No position

Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $205.29

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $174.5

No position

Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2025?

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170

No position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $159.59

Panthers position

Oilers vs. Panthers

Ends Jun 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.88

Republican position

House control after 2024 election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.83

No position

Will Trump remove tariff on Canada before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.57

No position

Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday?

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.26

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 25.6% 100 shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

No 23% 500 shares
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Yes 24% 833.33 shares
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?

Yes 16% 625 shares
Maduro out in 2025?

Yes 8.3% 484.59 shares
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?

Yes 15% 266.67 shares
Maduro out in 2025?

Yes 8.2% 243.61 shares
Bengals vs. Bills

Bengals 34% 176.47 shares
Sharks vs. Stars

Sharks 19% 42.11 shares
Sharks vs. Stars

Sharks 18% 111.11 shares
Golden Knights vs. Devils

Golden Knights 78% 51.28 shares
Kraken vs. Oilers

Kraken 5% 70 shares